Steve G.

Posts Tagged ‘Rasmussen’

Rasmussen: Majority of small l libertarians planning to vote for Obama

In Barack Obama, Democrats, Libertarian, Libertarian Party-US, Libertarian Politics, Politics, Republican on July 24, 2008 at 10:14 pm


Rasmussen
reports that

Libertarian voters make up 4% of the nation’s likely voters and they favor Barack Obama over John McCain by a 53% to 38% margin. Three percent (3%) would vote for some other candidate and 5% are not sure. These results, from an analysis of 15,000 Likely Voter interviews conducted by Rasmussen Reports, challenges the conventional wisdom which assumes that strong support for a Libertarian candidate would hurt John McCain.

In June, Rasmussen Reports asked 15,000 Likely Voters if they were fiscally conservative, moderate, or liberal and if they were socially conservative, moderate, or liberal. This created a total of 16 possible combinations (not sure was a fourth option for both questions). However, 87% of voters fit into one of seven combinations. Libertarians, defined as fiscally conservative and socially liberal, are the smallest of these seven combinations.

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Rasmussen Poll Data

In Politics on June 16, 2008 at 4:26 pm

Here is where it gets tough for Bob Barr and the Libertarian Party.  Polling companies like Rassmussen are giving polls with the only options for President being Barack Obama and John McCain.   The poll among Arkansas voters show that 8% prefer “some other candidate.”

Why do people give such credence to polling firms?  I remember a class action lawsuit filed by the LPPA and LP candidates Richard Piotrowski and Betsy Summers against Quinnipiac College.  The college accepts federal money for student tuition and is supposed to be unbiased in politics.  Excluding candidates on the ballot constitutes as bias according to the law suit.  I haven’t heard anything about the suit since it was filed.

The longer polls exclude Bob Barr, the harder it will be for him (as well as for downticket candidates.)